Oldmans Pick For Thursday 9/9/04

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Professional At All Times
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Seems to me there are a number of things at work in tonight's game between Indianapolis and New England. When these two teams met in the AFC Championship in January, both teams were in peak form both offensively and defensively with New England having enough defense to control the game, particularly through interceptions and winning 24-14. Earlier in the year, indoors, the Pats won in a shootout 38-34 which ultimately led to home field advantage in the playoffs. Playoff level of play is far more intense then regular season play as a loss means elimination. Futhermore, the playoff game last year between these two teams was the game that has had the greatest impact on enforcing the "No Chuck Rule" in preseason. As just shown on ESPN, weather tonight looks like 60% chance of light showers and 10-15 mph winds but not so much down on the field but above the stadium. Sense here is that the offenses in this game will not only be ahead of the defenses but the rule interpretation will be enough on the minds of the players, both offensively and defensively to create more wide open offense. No doubt the Colts will try to run but they most likely will move the bulk of their yardage in the air. Likewise, with a thin Pats running game, expect an aerial assault as well. Just don't believe that the Colts defense will be a major roadblock to stopping the Pats and likewise, feel that the Pats defense may be a bit tentative early, or if not, may be called for some costly penalties, thereby keeping drives alive. As to the weather, believe it may play somewhat of a role, but feel the advantage goes to the receivers as they know the routes, which could cause more downfield holding penalties. Only a strong wind could really affect these teams ability to move the ball, as with this being the first game of the season, just can't see the defenses being in peak form. If the wind does play a role, it is likely more turnovers could occur and possibly set up short field situations although where a turnover happens is never really known. Therefore, seems to me that points will be put on the board tonight in this match-up. Hence,

1* Indianapolis/New England Over 43.5

Plays are rated 1*-5*.

Good Luck All.
 

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Thanx for the input ted and disregaurd my reply in SSI's thread.Good luck tonight.
 

Pour your misery down on me
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I`M GOING TO RIDE THE OVER WITH YOU.
GOOD LUCK!!!
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You all really think this game is going over even with the weather?

I could pass up taking under 44
 

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Island boy, don't believe weather will be a factor but offense will be. GL ted over 43.5 for me
 

"American Idol Capping Expert"
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very nice work. over before the end of 3 quarters.
 

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Nice work oldman
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Thanx.
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Yes ID it is nice to have won before the end of the 3rd quarter.No sweat this time.
 

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Great capping sir.I was planning on laying off this game.But after reading your write up,I had to jump on the over for a few bucks
Best i could find was over 44 ,but with 8 mins to go the total is now 51...So it just didn't matter
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Thanks again
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Congrats Ted...good call...Aloha CC.
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I got so caught up on the Missouri game, I forgot to post my other Teaser play on this site, which was on Indy and the Over, after seeing your pick...Thats ok though, main thing is that I played it and won...Thanks for sharing the play.
 

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